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Who will win Indiana in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as Obama

Indiana has 11 electoral college votes and was comfortably republican in 2004, but could things change this time out?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)147943859.94%
Kerry (dem)96901139.26%
Others195530.79%
Total2468002100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: As reported by mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

McCain
63%
Obama
37%
Activity: H$141,916
Settled as Obama on Wed 5th Nov 10am PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 10am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 78%, Obama: 22%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:19am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 5:52am PST by ananon: MSNBC is reporting Obama won Indiana

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25380346/race/president
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 8:11am PST by theonecalledmichael: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPIN


Obama wins!!!
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 8:42am PST by rbrog77: Obama won. WOW!! 50-49
Settled as 'Obama' Wed 5th Nov 10am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 10am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (573)

573 predictions

2 weeks ago
drjay predicted Obama (H$200 at 36%)
2 weeks ago
ddills predicted McCain (H$50 at 65%)
2 weeks ago
felix predicted Obama (H$50 at 35%)
2 weeks ago
davecade predicted Obama (H$50 at 42%)
2 weeks ago
ejayz predicted Obama (H$100 at 41%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 andrewdb
This is one thing I'm happy I lost 100$H on. :)
posted 2 weeks ago

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