Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by 
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All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » ryanj Who will win Kansas in the 2008 presidential election?
Current forecast: McCain (97% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is McCain with a probability of 97% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Kansas has 6 electoral college votes and was comfortably republican in 2004, but could things change this time out?
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 736456 | 62.00% |
| Kerry (dem) | 434993 | 36.62% |
| Others | 16307 | 1.37% |
| Total | 1187756 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Make your prediction!
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McCain |
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Obama |
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Activity: H$13,453
Question suspends in 9 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
McCain: 83%, Obama: 17%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (11)
11 predictions
foodgod1
jenniandboys
infernalmachine
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Obama (H$100 at 18%)
jhouseholder
thomismydad
newswranglerComments (0)
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