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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win Massachusetts in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as Obama

Massachusetts has 12 electoral college votes and was easily democratic in 2004, but could they swing for McCain?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)107110936.78%
Kerry (dem)180380061.94%
Others374791.29%
Total2912388100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
3%
Obama
97%
Activity: H$20,817
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 9:49pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:49pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 17%, Obama: 83%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:22am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... could they swing for McCain?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:22am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 9:49pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:49pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (52)

52 predictions

2 weeks ago
ejayz predicted Obama (H$50 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
dodobird predicted Obama (H$100 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
moneek89 predicted Obama (H$400 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
mattcampbell predicted Obama (H$50 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
sammiroxx predicted Obama (H$100 at 97%)
more

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