
Who will win Missouri in the 2008 presidential election?
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 1455713 | 53.30% |
| Kerry (dem) | 1259171 | 46.10% |
| Others | 16480 | 0.60% |
| Total | 2731364 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Settlement details:
As reported by mainstream media.
Settled
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McCain |
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Obama |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 5pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 9:09pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: McCain: 61%, Obama: 39%
Action history:
McCain 50%
Obama 49%
100% of precints reporting.
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 5pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 9:09pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (482)
482 predictions
Comments (11)
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151 settled, 50 voided




Missouri Governor's response:
http://governor.mo.gov/cgi-bin/coranto/viewnews.cgi?id=EkkkVFulkpOzXqGMaj&style=Default+News+Style&tmpl=newsitem
wonder why they are all coming to see Obama....lol
Southwest Missouri is the old home of Limbaugh family and the Ashcroft family.
Both will probably lean somewhat to left of Stalin in some circles in that part of Missouri.
This will all be about turn out in St. Louis City.
The county to watch will be St. Charles County - if that is even competitive for Obama (within 5%) then McCain is toast in Missouri.
Otherwise, Obama will likely lose.
But this is one very strange election. So who knows what's going to happen.
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