Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by 
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Who will win Montana in the 2008 presidential election?
Settled as McCain
Montana has 3 electoral college votes and was comfortably republican in 2004, but could things change this time out?
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 266063 | 59.07% |
| Kerry (dem) | 173710 | 38.56% |
| Others | 10672 | 2.37% |
| Total | 450445 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Settled
|
|
McCain |
|
||
|
|
Obama |
|
Activity: H$135,438
Settled as McCain on Wed 5th Nov 9:58am PST
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 9:58am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: McCain: 78%, Obama: 22%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:28am PST by 
destry: show details
destry: show details ... things change this time out?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:28am PST by destry: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
destry: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 3:09pm PST by destry: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
destry: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 3:10pm PST by destry: Unsuspended until polls close
destry: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 5:15am PST by 
crowe: McCain won Montana
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
crowe: McCain won Montana
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 8:22am PST by 
rbrog77: McCain won 50-47% according to MSNBC
rbrog77: McCain won 50-47% according to MSNBC
Settled as 'McCain' Wed 5th Nov 9:58am PST by destry
destry
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 9:58am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (292)
292 predictions
bout3fitty
thomismydad![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Obama (H$250 at 5%)
cognos
gotmick
goldnchyl
jensir
infernalmachine
pembeci
pitchedoutsidelegComments (3)
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score: 10
ONE News 2 weeks ago
4.1 percentage points. Obama had bigger leads in Virginia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while McCain was ahead in Indiana and North Carolina, the Reuters/Zogby poll showed. Missouri, a classic bellwether state, was dead even. The victor needs 270 electoral
score: 10
Guardian Unlimited 2 weeks ago
enough subplots and intrigues to keep insomniac politicos occupied late into the night. Polls close in Kentucky and Indiana Kentucky is sure to hand McCain its eight electoral votes, but Obama has surged in the polls in Indiana (11 electoral votes) and
score: 10
CNN 2 weeks ago
landslide -- 15 votes to 6 for McCain Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, residents cast the first votes on Election Day The town has hardly been a reliable bellwether for picking the president DIXVILLE NOTCH, New Hampshire (CNN) -- Democratic presidential
score: 10
Boston Globe 2 weeks ago
West to know how things are going. The first clues will come early, when voting ends in Georgia, Indiana and Virginia. If Democrat Barack Obama wins any of the three, he could be on his way to a big victory, maybe even a landslide. If Republican John
score: 10
CTV.ca 2 weeks ago
West to know how things are going. The first clues will come early, when voting ends in Georgia, Indiana and Virginia. If Democrat Barack Obama wins any of the three, he could be on his way to a big victory, maybe even a landslide. If Republican John
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And I think I was wrong about that 44-40 being a 'today' total. I'm tired and screwing up all over the place here.
32 of 861 precincts reporting (4%)
Obama - 40224
McCain - 29530
Paul - 1359
http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/elections/2008/general/StatewideRaces/President/index.asp
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