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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win Nebraska in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as McCain

Nebraska has 5 electoral college votes and was safe republican territory in 2004, but will things play out the same in 08?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)51281465.90%
Kerry (dem)25432832.68%
Others110441.42%
Total778186100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
95%
Obama
5%
Activity: H$23,181
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 9:48pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 89%, Obama: 11%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:29am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... out the same in 08?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:29am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 9:48pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

2 weeks ago
nadine_dr_computer predicted Obama (H$50 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
bookie predicted Obama (H$50 at 5%)
2 weeks ago
gianmy predicted McCain (H$20 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted Obama (H$5 at 4%)
2 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama (H$50 at 4%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 clahey
What happens if Nebraska or Maine splits their electoral votes?
posted 2 weeks ago

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