Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » ryanj 
Who will win Nevada in the 2008 presidential election?
Current forecast: Obama (58% chance
7%)
7%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Obama with a probability of 58% (up 7% in last 1 day)
Nevada has 5 electoral college votes and was almost too close to call in 2004, so things could get interesting this time out.
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 418690 | 50.47% |
| Kerry (dem) | 397190 | 47.88% |
| Others | 13707 | 1.65% |
| Total | 829587 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Make your prediction!
|
|
McCain |
|
|||
|
|
Obama |
|
Activity: H$10,262
Question suspends in 9 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
McCain: 54%, Obama: 46%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (53)
53 predictions
rk725
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted McCain (H$1,000 at 44%)
notablenotices
timmy2000kComments (0)
New to Hubdub?
Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions
Related tags
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Construction Executive 18 hours ago
for Republicans. The survey of 1,000 likely voters taken August 10-14, reveals a one point (47-46%) advantage for John McCain on the ballot test but, by an astounding 51-34% margin, these same voters believe that Barack Obama will win the presidency.
score: 10
Yahoo! Canada 2 days ago
in 2004, Plan B is certain to involve Colorado.In fact, it might make more sense to think of Colorado as part of Plan A.Current polls show the Rocky Mountain State could offer Barack Obama his best chance to reach the magic 270 electoral vote level. For
score: 10
The Australian 4 days ago
the demographic changes that he thinks will help deliver Democrats the White House in November. 'Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico all have Democratic governors and all are Democratic governors who succeeded
score: 10
Philadelphia Inquirer 5 days ago
have a chance of rewriting the map,' said Floyd Ciruli, a pollster in Denver. Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada are worth a combined 19 electoral votes, enough to help a candidate who wins them all withstand losing Ohio's 20 or Pennsylvania's 21. Obama's
score: 10
LifeNews.com 5 days ago
had leads in every poll in those states since April and May. The same can be said of Missouri, Georgia, Montana, Indiana, Alaska and North Dakota -- states Obama hoped to pull out of the historic Republican column but ones where McCain appears to be
New in Politics » US Election 2008
No comments yet
Please log in or join to post a comment.