Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by 
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Who will win New Jersey in the 2008 presidential election?
Current forecast: Obama (74% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Obama with a probability of 74% (up 1% in last 1 day)
New Jersey has 15 electoral college votes and was almost too close to call in 2004, so things could get interesting this time out.
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 1670003 | 46.24% |
| Kerry (dem) | 1911430 | 52.92% |
| Others | 30258 | 0.84% |
| Total | 3611691 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Make your prediction!
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McCain |
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Obama |
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Activity: H$4,872
Question suspends in 10 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST (10 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
McCain: 40%, Obama: 60%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions
koblentz
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Obama (H$100 at 73%)
coolkraft
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thomismydad
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