Join| Login| Tour| About| Help | Edition: US | UK
Search
Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions
TopAllPoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win New York in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as Obama

New York has 31 electoral college votes and was easily democratic in 2004, but could they swing for McCain?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)296256740.08%
Kerry (dem)431428058.37%
Others1141891.54%
Total7391036100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
1%
Obama
99%
Activity: H$23,729
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 10:11pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:11pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 24%, Obama: 76%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:30am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... could they swing for McCain?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:30am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 3:09pm PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 3:10pm PST by destry[Admin]: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 10:11pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:11pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (35)

35 predictions

2 weeks ago
binder predicted Obama (H$100 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
ryfly predicted Obama (H$100 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
psychologicxen predicted Obama (H$1,130 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
angelbaby3207 predicted Obama (H$1,000 at 95%)
2 weeks ago
toejam predicted Obama (H$100 at 94%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Obama off to early lead

Philippine Daily Inquirer 2 weeks ago
in the dark from polling stations waiting to open in states including tightly contested Virginia, neighboring Maryland, and New York. ?The last eight years has been a horror story,? said Michael Smith, a 54-year-old salesman, standing in a queue of

score: 10
Long queues for historic US vote

BBC 2 weeks ago
would be 'a big win' for the Illinois senator. She was speaking outside a polling station in Chappaqua, New York. In the first voting of the day, Mr Obama won by 15 votes to six in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. The hamlet, which has a 60-year tradition

score: 10
US election night: your hour-by-hour guide

Guardian Unlimited 2 weeks ago
enough subplots and intrigues to keep insomniac politicos occupied late into the night. Polls close in Kentucky and Indiana Kentucky is sure to hand McCain its eight electoral votes, but Obama has surged in the polls in Indiana (11 electoral votes) and

score: 10
Election Guide: Keep early eye on Ga., Va., Ind.

Boston Globe 2 weeks ago
West to know how things are going. The first clues will come early, when voting ends in Georgia, Indiana and Virginia. If Democrat Barack Obama wins any of the three, he could be on his way to a big victory, maybe even a landslide. If Republican John

score: 10
Against Obama juggernaut, McCain has slim path to victory

AFP via Yahoo! 2 weeks ago
independent website RealClearPolitics in all the battlegrounds save North Carolina, now a tie and held narrow leads in Indiana and Missouri -- which are normally Republican territory. Under the US system, the president is chosen on the base of electoral

Related tags

New in Politics » US Election 2008

Will President Obama ever reply to a Tweet or use the @ symbol on Twitter in 2008?
Presidential Inauguration: What verse will Barack Obama's Bible be open to?
Will Hillary Clinton be Secretary of State?

More questions by

ryanj[Admin]

75% of previous questions settled successfully
151 settled, 50 voided

When will the Bank of England announce the UK recession has ended or is ended?
Will the Blackwater warship, McArthur be attacked off Somalia's coast?
Of 86 defendants charged with trying to overthrow Turkey's government how many will be found guilty?
More...