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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win North Dakota in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as McCain

North Dakota has 3 electoral college votes and was comfortably republican in 2004, but could things change this time out?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)19665162.86%
Kerry (dem)11105235.50%
Others51301.64%
Total312833100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
89%
Obama
11%
Activity: H$140,464
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 9:46pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:46pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 85%, Obama: 15%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:33am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... things change this time out?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:33am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 3:25pm PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 3:26pm PST by destry[Admin]: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 9:46pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:46pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (273)

273 predictions

2 weeks ago
binder predicted McCain (H$20 at 89%)
2 weeks ago
oppugner predicted Obama (H$20 at 11%)
2 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Obama (H$200 at 5%)
2 weeks ago
leucadian predicted Obama (H$100 at 8%)
2 weeks ago
downunderdave predicted McCain (H$250 at 84%)
more

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