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Who will win Rhode Island in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as Obama

Rhode Island has 4 electoral college votes and was easily democratic in 2004, but could they swing for McCain?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)16904638.67%
Kerry (dem)25976559.42%
Others83231.90%
Total437134100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

McCain
3%
Obama
97%
Activity: H$22,116
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 22%, Obama: 78%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:33am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

2 weeks ago
gianmy predicted Obama (H$20 at 97%)
3 weeks ago
sosakan predicted Obama (H$20 at 99%)
5 weeks ago
amice predicted Obama (H$100 at 99%)
6 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted McCain (H$1 at 1%)
6 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted McCain (H$1 at 1%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 gregmatta
Rhode Island has one master lever on the their voting machines (Democrat)
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 gregmatta
Even $1 is to much against Obama.
posted 17 weeks ago

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