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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win Tennessee in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as McCain

Tennessee has 11 electoral college votes and was almost too close to call in 2004, so things could get interesting this time out.
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)138437556.80%
Kerry (dem)103647742.53%
Others164670.68%
Total2437319100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
95%
Obama
5%
Activity: H$22,053
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 70%, Obama: 30%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:32am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... get interesting this time out.<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:32am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:44pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

2 weeks ago
triathematician predicted McCain (H$5,000 at 92%)
2 weeks ago
gianmy predicted McCain (H$20 at 88%)
3 weeks ago
sosakan predicted McCain (H$20 at 87%)
3 weeks ago
downunderdave predicted McCain (H$50 at 86%)
3 weeks ago
divakaleigh predicted McCain (H$1,000 at 85%)
more

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