Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » ryanj 
Who will win Washington in the 2008 presidential election?
Current forecast: Obama (79% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Obama with a probability of 79% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Washington has 11 electoral college votes and was almost too close to call in 2004, so things could get interesting this time out.
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 1304894 | 45.64% |
| Kerry (dem) | 1510201 | 52.82% |
| Others | 43989 | 1.54% |
| Total | 2859084 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Make your prediction!
|
|
McCain |
|
|||
|
|
Obama |
|
Activity: H$9,156
Question suspends in 9 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
McCain: 39%, Obama: 61%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj
ryanj
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (24)
24 predictions
brosenau
timmy2000k
leahzan
amg503
coolkraft
destry
deelilley
thomismydadComments (0)
New to Hubdub?
Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions
Related tags
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Yahoo! News 1 week ago
would not matter. D.C. would sooner root for the Dallas Cowboys against its beloved Redskins than vote Republican. FLORIDA 27 votes Tossup. It is inconceivable that the state will be as close as it was in 2000 when fewer than 1,000 votes decided the
score: 10
CBS News 1 week ago
assembling the 270 needed to win. Together the five states where McCain sees opportunity have 78 electoral votes; Illinois' 21 votes are considered safe for Obama, its favorite son U.S. senator. This year McCain views the region as his best, if not his
score: 10
Macro World Investor 1 week ago
Republican John McCain hopes to upset that history. The presidential candidate is mounting strong challenges to Democratic rival Barack Obama in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and eyeing Minnesota, four states that have thwarted Republicans in at
score: 10
San Jose Mercury News 1 week ago
upset that history. The GOP presidential candidate is mounting strong challenges to Democratic rival Barack Obama in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and eyeing Minnesotafour states that have thwarted Republicans in at least four straight elections.
score: 10
Forbes.com 1 week ago
'We see him on the news, but we don't pay much attention to him.' Liz Sidoti reported from Washington. Kathleen Hennessey reported from Las Vegas.
New in Politics » US Election 2008
No comments yet
Please log in or join to post a comment.