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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win Wyoming in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as McCain

Wyoming has 3 electoral college votes and was safe republican territory in 2004, but will things play out the same in 08?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)16762968.86%
Kerry (dem)7077629.07%
Others50232.06%
Total243428100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
97%
Obama
3%
Activity: H$11,852
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 9:41pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:41pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 93%, Obama: 7%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Clarified Tue 15th Jul 2:10am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Obama/McCain changed to Democrat/Republican in option text
Clarified Tue 15th Jul 2:17am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Changed back to Obama/McCain for consistency with the other questions
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:30am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... out the same in 08?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:30am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 9:41pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:41pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

2 weeks ago
gianmy predicted McCain (H$20 at 97%)
3 weeks ago
sosakan predicted McCain (H$20 at 97%)
5 weeks ago
thedrake000 predicted McCain (H$100 at 98%)
5 weeks ago
gotmick predicted McCain (H$5,000 at 96%)
5 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted Obama (H$20 at 7%)
more

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