Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will any Olympians be asked to leave early for any of these violations before closing ceremonies?

Settled as No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations

While one athlete was asked to leave for a failed drug test: http://multimedia.olympic.org/pdf/en_report_1355.pdf
...no reports of olympians being asked to leave for the listed violations were found nor reported.

Background:

China is very concerned with an orderly Olympics. Rules continue to be published about what is and isn't expected behaviorally. The world's best athletes are all converging there, and for many of them this is the pinnacle of their carrier and many will go from obscurity to fame instantly. I any of the Olympic athletes act up and cause their hosts to lose face, will any be asked to leave, early prior to when they would have otherwise left?

This will settle for a Yes in the # 2 option if a participating athlete is asked to leave the country early for one or more of the specific reasons included below.

This market will settle for a Yes for the 3rd option, if it is reported from China that an Olympic athlete left the games prematurely due to ANY OTHER reason, but then after the athlete is safely home the athlete explains that a rule violation forced their early departure.

This list of prohibited things and actions taken from the "Spectators House Rules" along with a "Good Habit for a Good Games" campaign published by Chinese authorities today.

1. Display of banners.
2. Airing of political views.
3. Airing of religious views.
4. Flags or banners > than 2 meters x 1 meter.
6. Political, religious or racial propoganda.
7. Commercial displays.
8. Religious displays.
9. Political displays.
10. Military displays.
11. Discussion of territories. (Tibet? Taiwan?)
12. Discussions about human rights.
13. Discussions about environmental protection.
14. Discussions about animal protection.
15. Flags from non-participating countries.
16. Gambling.
17. Sit-ins.
18. Demonstrations.
19. Drunkenness.
20. Streaking.
21. Opening of umbrellas at stadiums.
22. Excessive use of coins, only paper money.

You have nice time!


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations
34%
One or more athletes leaves for a violation(s)
41%
Early leaver claims these true reasons from home
9%
Any combination of # 2 and # 3 options.
16%
Activity: H$5,181
Settled as No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations on Wed 27th Aug 7:16am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 21st Aug 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 27th Aug 7:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 21st Aug 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations : 40%, One or more athletes leaves for a violation(s): 40%, Early leaver claims these true reasons from home: 15%, Any combination of # 2 and # 3 options. : 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:09pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Mon 11th Aug 2:10am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Question will suspend 3 full days prior to close of the games
Suspended Thu 21st Aug 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 25th Aug 7:19am PDT by philphan1: Olympics are over
Settlement requested Tue 26th Aug 3:30pm PDT by philphan1: Olympics are over
Settlement requested Tue 26th Aug 9:20pm PDT by hippyboomer: According to "http://multimedia.olympic.org/pdf/en_report_1355.pdf", Fani Chalkia of Greece was requested to leave (and did) following a failed drug test.
Settled as 'No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations ' Wed 27th Aug 7:16am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: While one athlete was asked to leave for a failed drug test: http://multimedia.olympic.org/pdf/en_report_1355.pdf
...no reports of olympians being asked to leave for the listed violations were found nor reported.

Suspend date: Thu 21st Aug 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 27th Aug 7:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 21st Aug 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (42)

42 predictions

13 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations (H$50 at 31%)
13 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted No reports Olympians leaving early re: violations (H$10 at 31%)
14 weeks ago
timmy2000k predicted One or more athletes leaves for a violation(s) (H$20 at 36%)
14 weeks ago
ranon predicted Any combination of # 2 and # 3 options. (H$20 at 26%)
14 weeks ago
hippyboomer predicted Any combination of # 2 and # 3 options. (H$20 at 26%)
more

Comments (6)

If you can't make it to the Olympics, streak over to my place, we're gonna sit-in and collect quarters by gambling on political dissidents to buy some Bibles for our miliary forces in the territories, you can't miss it, the party will be under the big banners. Bring your big umbrellas with the corporate logos, we expect rain. Feel free to bring your dogs and cats also, they are more than welcome.

heh heh heh...
posted 18 weeks ago
First paragraph reads awkwardly, I hit send too fast. Should have read...

China is very concerned with an orderly Olympics. Rules continue to be published about what is and isn't expected behaviorally. The world's best athletes are all converging there, and for many of them this is the pinnacle of their career and many will go from obscurity to fame instantly. If any of the Olympic athletes act up and cause their hosts to lose face, will they be asked to leave early prior to when they would have otherwise left?
posted 18 weeks ago
I understand that these are "Spectators House Rules", yet the question asks "Will any Olympians be asked to leave early for any of these violations..."

Are there separate/different rules that apply to the athletes? Is there anything that intimates any of these rules apply to athletes?
posted 18 weeks ago
@ newswrangler

Valid points, although I don't think it's a problem, all my reading on the Olympics this summer indicates that China is going to GREAT lengths to ensure that everything is orderly and controlled. I think the same rules will apply for all 'guests' spectators and athletes, beyond that it is often observed that athletes themselves are in the stands cheering on other athletes at events they themselves are not participating in.
posted 18 weeks ago
@Val - You So Funny Man!! :-D
posted 18 weeks ago
  6 cognos[Power User]
@v&h ... cognos and addicus will be there!

i can not imagine that this olympics will be absolutely 'rule-abiding', even in this communist nation.
i don't think the Chinese will publicize the 'leaving' of any atheletes during the games.
i not sure whether or not they will 'hold' any offenders until the games are over, in an attempt to 'not lose face' during the games.

amazingly, there is no mention of 'drug abuse' in their rules. opium anyone?

the list itself kinda smacks of human-rights violations in and of itself.

any foreigners who drink alcohol over there best be careful. their alcohol is way more potent than what we are used to.
posted 18 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more