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How much more money will "The Mummy 3" earn than "Swing Vote" opening weekend?

Settled as The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million

delta - 34,227

Background:

This question asks, how much MORE money will "The Mummy 3" earn during its opening weekend than "Swing Vote"? ... To give you some idea, according to HSX.com, as of 07/14/08 at 9:30pm, "Swing Vote" is only expected to open around $12.5 million and "The Mummy 3: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor" is expected to open around $45.0 million, which is a $32.5 million difference. These two films are expected to open on Friday the 1st of August, and this question ONLY will cover Friday 1st, Saturday 2nd, and Sunday 3rd, so any previews or early release numbers will NOT be included in the settling of this question. Example of settlement: If "The Mummy 3" earns $30.999 million more than "Swing Vote," then it will settle as "The Mummy 3 by $25.1 to $30 million," not "The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million." If Swing Vote ends up beating The Mummy 3, then the prediction "Swing Vote will earn more than The Mummy 3" will Win.


Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

The Mummy 3 by $25.0 million or Less...
2%
The Mummy 3 by $25.1 to $30 million
7%
The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million
20%
The Mummy 3 by $35.1 million or More...
64%
Swing Vote will earn more than The Mummy 3
7%
Activity: H$22,283
Settled as The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million on Mon 4th Aug 3:56pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 9pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 4th Aug 3:56pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 1st Aug 9pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: The Mummy 3 by $25.0 million or Less...: 4%, The Mummy 3 by $25.1 to $30 million: 27%, The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million: 40%, The Mummy 3 by $35.1 million or More...: 28%, Swing Vote will earn more than The Mummy 3: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 9:25pm PDT by lucidstates
Suspended Fri 1st Aug 9pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million' Mon 4th Aug 3:56pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: delta - 34,227

Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 9pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 4th Aug 3:56pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 1st Aug 9pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (63)

63 predictions

16 weeks ago
pepe predicted The Mummy 3 by $35.1 million or More... (H$100 at 61%)
16 weeks ago
amice predicted Swing Vote will earn more than The Mummy 3 (H$20 at 6%)
16 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted The Mummy 3 by $35.1 million or More... (H$60 at 61%)
16 weeks ago
fastrez predicted The Mummy 3 by $25.1 to $30 million (H$20 at 24%)
16 weeks ago
mark743 predicted The Mummy 3 by $30.1 to $35 million (H$20 at 25%)
more

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