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How much will Mamma Mia make in it's opening weekend?

Settled as 20.1mil to 30mil

27.6 million is the winning amount

Background:

I personaly love musicals (like 1776 or 7 brides for 7 brothers) but I'm not to big on modern musicals. How much do you think this can baby bring in? in it's first weekend. http://www.fantasymoguls.com/movies/projections has it making 90mil total, And remember Space Chimps is coming out that same day... and some other movie I have heard anything about called The Dark Knight.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

1mil to 10 mil
4%
10.1mil to 20mil
8%
20.1mil to 30mil
43%
more than 30mil
45%
Activity: H$12,306
Settled as 20.1mil to 30mil on Mon 21st Jul 2:19pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 2pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 21st Jul 2:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 2pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1mil to 10 mil: 35%, 10.1mil to 20mil: 45%, 20.1mil to 30mil: 15%, more than 30mil: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jul 2:48pm PDT by skins
Suspended Fri 18th Jul 2pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 20th Jul 7:03pm PDT by atrane: made 27.6 mil http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/20/news/companies/batman.ap/index.htm?section=money_topstories
Settlement requested Mon 21st Jul 10:54am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Settles as 20-30 million

(Actuals are in early: 27.6 million)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
Settlement requested Mon 21st Jul 11:42am PDT by timmstifter: Opening weekend is over.
Settled as '20.1mil to 30mil' Mon 21st Jul 2:19pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: 27.6 million is the winning amount

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 2pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 21st Jul 2:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 2pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

18 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted 20.1mil to 30mil (H$330 at 31%)
18 weeks ago
atrane predicted 20.1mil to 30mil (H$20 at 29%)
18 weeks ago
walrusgod predicted more than 30mil (H$20 at 57%)
18 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted more than 30mil (H$20 at 57%)
18 weeks ago
rave10003 predicted 20.1mil to 30mil (H$200 at 26%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 shojun
its, not it's. The only exception to the ownership apostrophe rule.

Now that I've got that out of my system, I totally think it can do > 30 as it'll capture the non-male audience. It may of course lose some tickets to that awesome epic that will be Space Chimps! ;)
posted 18 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
The new HubDubSpellCheckSupervisor finally arrived!

Cheers!

;-)
posted 18 weeks ago
Space Chimps?? Awesome? Epic? *Cough*

I do, however, agree that Mama Mia has a great release date -- counter programming at its best. I also think it has a good chance to pick up the excess of people who get to the theater to find DK sold out. (at least as long as there is a wife along.. maybe not a lot of just guy friends are going to to...)

BTW 7 Brides for 7 Brothers is one of my all time favorite movies!
posted 18 weeks ago

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