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Will the mystery bug found in London be identified as a new species?

Settled as No

No such announcement made in September.

Background:

The Natural History Museum in London prides itself on having over 28 million species of insects, but is has been dumbfounded by a litte almond shaped bug that has appeared in its garden.

They have been cautious over labelling it a new species - they are incredulous that such a thing could be found in the middle of London.

The bug resembles the Arocatus roeselii, which is usually found in central Europe but is a brighter red and lives on alder trees and experts suspect that the new bug could be a version of the roeselii that has adapted to live on plane trees. But they have acknowledged that it could be an entirely new species.

So, will it be reported that it is actually a new species by the end of September?
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$21,799
Settled as No on last Wednesday 3:27am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: last Wednesday 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: last Wednesday 3:27am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Wednesday 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jul 4:30pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Suspended last Wednesday 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' last Wednesday 3:27am PDT by tisha[Admin]: No such announcement made in September.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (41)

41 predictions

1 week ago
capecodviking predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
2 weeks ago
dmn322 predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)
2 weeks ago
mewise predicted Yes (H$100 at 15%)
3 weeks ago
nola713 predicted No (H$12 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
oldbearedguy predicted Yes (H$20 at 15%)
more

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