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Created Tue 15th Jul 9:58pm PDT by destry[Admin]
All questions » Technology » Hubdub » 

How many users will receive the $20 sign in bonus on Sunday July 20, 2008

Settled as 300 to 399

386 - this is like the balloon dance were every time a balloon is burst you get to see a bit more of Hubdub's stats!

Background:

Hubdub gives players a $20 credit for signing into Hubdub each day. So this market is asking how many players will sign in on Sunday July 20, 2008.
This market obviously will need to be settled by the tech guys at Hubdub. I have absolutely no idea how many, so the odds are being set randomly.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Less than 100
3%
100 to 199
12%
200 to 299
17%
300 to 399
35%
400 to 499
20%
500 to 599
9%
600 or more
5%
Activity: H$1,990
Settled as 300 to 399 on Tue 22nd Jul 1:29am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by the tech team at Hubdub.

Suspend date: Mon 21st Jul 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Tue 22nd Jul 1:29am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 21st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 100: 5%, 100 to 199: 15%, 200 to 299: 20%, 300 to 399: 25%, 400 to 499: 20%, 500 to 599: 10%, 600 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jul 9:58pm PDT by destry[Admin]
Suspended Mon 21st Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 21st Jul 11:59am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Settle?
Settled as '300 to 399' Tue 22nd Jul 1:29am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: 386 - this is like the balloon dance were every time a balloon is burst you get to see a bit more of Hubdub's stats!
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by the tech team at Hubdub.... read all

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

6 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted 400 to 499 (H$300 at 17%)
6 weeks ago
onedave predicted 300 to 399 (H$20 at 37%)
6 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted 200 to 299 (H$100 at 17%)
6 weeks ago
philm predicted 500 to 599 (H$100 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
swilson[Power User] predicted 100 to 199 (H$100 at 13%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 dieseldog
HEY DESTRY..why ain't your "elly inspired" questions showing up in the settled cat?
posted 6 weeks ago

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