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NFL: Which Manning brother will have a better year?

Current forecast: Peyton manning will have a better QB rating (55% chance3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Peyton manning will have a better QB rating with a probability of 55% (up 3% in last 1 day)

This question inspired by anaverageamerican saying that Peyton is old news and Eli is current news.
Question will be settled based on which QB has a better QB rating for the regular season. I spent some time trying to come up with a different way for settling, but this is the easiest and cleanest way.
 
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Peyton manning will have a better QB rating
55%
Eli Manning will have a better QB rating
45%
They have the same exact QB rating
1%
Activity: H$18,032
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported on NFL.com.

Suspend date: Mon 15th Dec 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Peyton manning will have a better QB rating: 49%, Eli Manning will have a better QB rating: 49%, They have the same exact QB rating: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jul 10:20pm PDT by destry[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported on NFL.com.... read all

 

Predictions (51)

51 predictions

1 week ago
rgsmith321 predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$50 at 46%)
1 week ago
philphan1 predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$50 at 45%)
2 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$20 at 49%)
3 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$100 at 49%)
3 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$467 at 45%)
more

Comments (1)

Peyton is still more consistent, IMO. I think we're still about 1-2 years from seeing this happen, but a very good question.

On a more personal note... Go Horse!
posted 12 weeks ago

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