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NFL: Which Manning brother will have a better year?

Background: This question inspired by anaverageamerican saying that Peyton is old news and Eli is current news.
Question will be settled based on which QB has a better QB rating for the regular season. I spent some time trying to come up with a different way for settling, but this is the easiest and cleanest way.

Settlement details:As reported on NFL.com.

 
Forecast history %
Peyton manning will have a better QB rating
37%
Eli Manning will have a better QB rating
62%
They have the same exact QB rating
1%
Settled as Peyton manning will have a better QB rating on Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:58am PST

Suspend date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Peyton manning will have a better QB rating: 49%, Eli Manning will have a better QB rating: 49%, They have the same exact QB rating: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jul 2008 9:20pm PST by destry[Admin]
Suspended Mon 15th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Peyton manning will have a better QB rating' Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:58am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/stats/byposition?pos=QB&conference=NFL&year=season_2008&timeframe=ToDate&sort=626&old_category=QB

Suspend date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 29th Dec 2008 7:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (107)

48 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Peyton manning will have a better QB rating (H$50 at 40%)
48 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$100 at 59%)
48 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Peyton manning will have a better QB rating (H$15 at 40%)
48 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted They have the same exact QB rating (H$1 at 0%)
48 weeks ago
horiconfrog predicted Eli Manning will have a better QB rating (H$50 at 59%)

Comments (5)

Peyton is still more consistent, IMO. I think we're still about 1-2 years from seeing this happen, but a very good question.

On a more personal note... Go Horse!
posted 1 year ago
  2 crowe
Eli is ahead by ~10 pts so far this year.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/statistics?stat=pass&season=2&year=2008
posted 1 year ago
  3 crowe
After week 13...
Eli's QB Rating - 91.3
Peyton's QB Rating - 85.3
posted 49 weeks ago
  4 crowe
After week 14...
Eli's QB Rating - 90.1
Peyton's QB Rating - 88.8

The race is tightening up!
posted 48 weeks ago
Week 16

Eli 86.4

Peyton 95.0
posted 46 weeks ago

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