Created Tue 15th Jul 11:17pm PDT by
nigeleccles
All questions » Technology » Consumer Electronics » 
How Many iPhones Will Apple Sell In 2008?
Current forecast: 12 million or more (81% chance
35%)
35%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 12 million or more with a probability of 81% (up 35% in last 1 day)
Steve Jobs has announced his intention to sell 10 million iPhones this year and we believe he has already sold 4 million in the first half of the year and an addition 1 million since the 3g iPhone launched. (More background at Read Write Web)
Clarification: This question will follow standard rounding rules, so if exactly 10.5 million are sold it will settle as 11 million.
Clarification: This question will follow standard rounding rules, so if exactly 10.5 million are sold it will settle as 11 million.
Make your prediction!
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8 million or less |
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9 million |
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10 million |
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11 million |
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12 million or more |
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Activity: H$34,552
Question suspends in 11 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
Question will be settled to the nearest million
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
8 million or less: 2%, 9 million: 8%, 10 million: 30%, 11 million: 40%, 12 million or more: 20%
Action history:
Created Tue 15th Jul 11:17pm PDT by
nigeleccles
Changed Description last Monday 3:14am PDT by
tomg
: show details
... iPhone launched. (More background at <aA href="http://www.readwriteweb.com ... rww_predictions_iphone_sales.php">Read Write Web</aA>) <br/> <br/> /> <b>Clarification:</b> This question will follow standard rounding rules, so if exactly 10.5 million are sold it will settle as 11 million.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: Question will be settled to the nearest million... read all
Predictions (87)
87 predictions
Comments (2)
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news is a kick in the pants of the skeptics in the anti-Apple crowd. When Apple announced the iPhone in January 2007, CEO Steve Jobs said the goal was to sell 10 million units during 2008, the first full calendar year of sales. Various market analysts
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It's at: http://seekingalpha.com/article/98619-iphone-sales-drastically-surpass-q4-consensus-apple-reaches-10m-goal
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