Created Thu 17th Jul 9:49am PDT by 
buzzmachine
All questions » Business » Other » buzzmachine 
Will a daily American newspaper (circulation 50k+) fold this year?
Current forecast: 67% chance 
1%
1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 67% likely to happen (down 1% in last 1 day)
The newspaper industry is going through huge turmoil as it loses audience, ad revenue, and market value and the trajectory downward is accelerating. Will a paper -- which I've defined as one of size at 50,000+ daily circulation -- fold this year?
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$30,132
Question suspends in 18 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 75%
Action history:
Created Thu 17th Jul 9:49am PDT by buzzmachine
buzzmachine
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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timmstifter
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predicted No (H$1,500 at 35%)
andrewComments
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score: 10
The Hindu 4 days ago
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Allmediascotland 6 days ago
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The Digital Journalist 6 days ago
As the disruption to the mass media business models of traditional media becomes more acute, more and more veteran journalists are beginning to ask how the business of news will be funded. Of course, this question comes
All newspapers fold ... that's how the expression, "below the fold", originated. Just kidding 8^). Could you clarify whether you mean ceases to operate, or receivership/bankruptcy? IMO, "fold" would mean ceases operation.
Regards,
AAA
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