Created Thu 17th Jul 9:49am PDT by 
buzzmachine
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Will a daily American newspaper (circulation 50k+) fold this year?
Current forecast: 65% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 65% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
The newspaper industry is going through huge turmoil as it loses audience, ad revenue, and market value and the trajectory downward is accelerating. Will a paper -- which I've defined as one of size at 50,000+ daily circulation -- fold this year?
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$31,164
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 75%
Action history:
Created Thu 17th Jul 9:49am PDT by buzzmachine
buzzmachine
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (97)
97 predictions
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$100 at 35%)
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$500 at 34%)
coolkraft
timmstifter
framed
jenniandboysComments (9)
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All newspapers fold ... that's how the expression, "below the fold", originated. Just kidding 8^). Could you clarify whether you mean ceases to operate, or receivership/bankruptcy? IMO, "fold" would mean ceases operation.
Regards,
AAA
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