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What will be true about Salim Ahmed Hamdan following his war crimes trial?

Settled as SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days

The first war crimes trial of a Guantanemo detainee, in this case Osabe Bin Laden's driver, begins next week on Monday. Though not exactly swift justice, it is now entering a new phase after lengthy confinement.

Which, if any, of the following outcomes will result from this trial?

Suspension date is a year from Monday.

Within the outcomes I've abbreviated Mr. Hamdan's name down to his initials of SAH, no disrespect, simply conserving character spaces.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080717/ap_on_go_ot/guantanamo_bin_laden_s_driver
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

SAH will become a folk hero in the Muslim world
4%
SAH acquitted returns to the Middle East as hero
4%
SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days
40%
SAH is fined more than $100K USD
4%
SAH receives a death sentence
4%
SAH is deported to another country from USA
4%
SAH writes his memoirs and cleans up on book tour
4%
Any combination of listed outcomes here
21%
Any other outcome or nothing
12%
Activity: H$13,720
Settled as SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days on Sat 23rd Aug 7:59pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 21st Jul 2009 4:59pm PDT (46 weeks to go)

Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 7:59pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: SAH will become a folk hero in the Muslim world: 10%, SAH acquitted returns to the Middle East as hero: 10%, SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days : 10%, SAH is fined more than $100K USD: 10%, SAH receives a death sentence: 10%, SAH is deported to another country from USA: 10%, SAH writes his memoirs and cleans up on book tour: 10%, Any combination of listed outcomes here: 10%, Any other outcome or nothing: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Jul 1pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Settlement requested Fri 22nd Aug 2:59pm PDT by fingers_of_fury: Please settle as: SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days

The commission sentenced Hamdan to five and one-half years, a stinging setback for prosecutors who had asked for a 30-year sentence.
http://www.law.com/jsp/article.jsp?id=1202423928340
Settled as 'SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days ' Sat 23rd Aug 7:59pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.law.com/jsp/article.jsp?id=1202423928340
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (24)

24 predictions

1 week ago
mona predicted SAH is reincarcerated for one or more days (H$100 at 38%)
5 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Any combination of listed outcomes here (H$250 at 36%)
5 weeks ago
onedave predicted Any combination of listed outcomes here (H$20 at 35%)
5 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Any combination of listed outcomes here (H$250 at 34%)
6 weeks ago
anaverageamerican[Power User] predicted Any combination of listed outcomes here (H$100 at 34%)
more

Comments (2)

YAY I was first to bet :-D
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 randburg
Osabe bid Laden? Imagine what they are going to do to Mugabe's chauffeur...
posted 1 week ago

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