Created Thu 17th Jul 2:27pm PDT by

valornhonor [Power User]

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 »

Will Senator Obama raise at least $1,344.08 per minute in July towards his bid for the Presidency?

Settled as No

Senator Obama raised an incredible $52,000,000.00 during the 30 day month of June. At this pace he would be on track to earn $53.7M for the 31 day month of July.

Market is looking to forecast whether this upward track for Senator Obama will take him over the $60M threshold for money raised during July 2008, which equates to $1,344.08 per minute.

% chance over time

Zoom in

Settled

Yes

27%

73%

Activity: H$37,841

Settled as No on last Sunday 7:43am PDT

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: last Sunday 7:43am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Jul 2:27pm PDT by

valornhonor [Power User]

Suspended Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested last Sunday 1:41am PDT by

chatarra: Should be settled as "No". Obama was able to raise a very respectable 52M during July.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/12577.html

Settled as 'No' last Sunday 7:43am PDT by

destry [Admin]

: 52 Million

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/12577.html

read less

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

Predictions

2 weeks ago

framer310 predicted No (H$50 at 74%)

2 weeks ago

amg503 predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

2 weeks ago

coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 27%)

2 weeks ago

mrfesta predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

2 weeks ago

greengenie predicted Yes (H$50 at 27%)

Comments

lucidstates

AWESOME question and I am the FIRST to bet on it, WOOT!! $420 says no :-D

posted 5 weeks ago

gregmatta

He has close to $60 mil in the last report I read. Funny that equals $1,344.08 a minute.

posted 5 weeks ago

gregmatta

Why is the suspend date in August? We will know the number by end of July.

posted 5 weeks ago

gregmatta

I need to read the whole question before I reply. But I did read 60 mil is in the bank. I'm looking for the article. BTY

posted 4 weeks ago

valornhonor [Power User]

@ gregmatta,

...Because final June #'s were released today.

posted 4 weeks ago

coolkraft

super question

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080717/D91VTG2O0.html

posted 4 weeks ago

coolkraft

plans to raise money via internet

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/17/AR2008071700187.html?hpid=moreheadlines

posted 4 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

The reporting deadline is on the 20th, but the numbers can be released at anytime prior to that. All of the other other fundraising questions have suspended on the first and I would suggest that we move this one up to be in line with that precedent...

posted 4 weeks ago

valornhonor [Power User]

Hi Jenni,

I have no problem moving suspension date to 8/1, can this be arranged by Admin, or do I need to void and start afresh?

posted 4 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

V&H - an admin could have just edited it, but I seem to have been overruled. You're all good.

posted 4 weeks ago

coolkraft

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-campaign18-2008jul18,0,2667524.story

posted 4 weeks ago

coolkraft

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/07/obamas_fundraising_in_context.html?nav=rss_blog