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Created Sat 19th Jul 2008 6:35am PST by

aregine Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

What will be the primary color of the swimming cap of the Men's 50m Freestyle Gold Medalist?

Settled as Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap

Metalic silver.

http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Olympics/idUSSP21561020080816

Background:

Background: Not looking to forecast winner’s name, or even the country, but the winner of this marquee race will have his visage prominently reported. Can you anticipate what the primary color of his swimming cap will be, in this race?

In the event that the winning cap does not have ONE primary color, then the option for Any other color or combination of colors will settle for Yes.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Black cap

4%

White cap

25%

Dull Silver or Dull Gray cap*

1%

Primary color: Blue, Red or Yellow cap

56%

Secondary color: Purple, Orange, Green

2%

Spotted, Checked, or striped cap

2%

Animal print, transparent, rainbow cap

1%

Any other color or combination of colors

3%

Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap

3%

Bald, no cap at all

2%

Settled as Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap on Fri 15th Aug 2008 8:12pm PST

Activity: H$10,191
Predictions: 55
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 8:12pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Aug 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Black cap: 10%, White cap: 10%, Dull Silver or Dull Gray cap*: 10%, Primary color: Blue, Red or Yellow cap : 10%, Secondary color: Purple, Orange, Green: 10%, Spotted, Checked, or striped cap: 10%, Animal print, transparent, rainbow cap : 10%, Any other color or combination of colors: 10%, Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap: 10%, Bald, no cap at all: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Jul 2008 6:35am PST by

aregine Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

Suspended Thu 7th Aug 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Unsuspended Fri 8th Aug 2008 7:39pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,875,421)

: reopened until gold medal race

Suspended Fri 15th Aug 2008 6pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:45pm PST by

ladylara Level 12, Guru (H$43,939)

Level 12, Guru (H$43,939)

: Whoa- 2 white, 2 black, 2 bal, and 1 silver and 1 gold! So no one won!!

Settlement requested Fri 15th Aug 2008 7:08pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,875,421)

: Sure looks like metallic silver to me

http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Olympics/idUSSP21561020080816

Settled as 'Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap' Fri 15th Aug 2008 8:12pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,225,810)

: Metalic silver.

http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Olympics/idUSSP21561020080816

hide

Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 8:12pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Aug 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

Get widget!

Predictions (55)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

predicted Bald, no cap at all (H$1 at 2%)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

predicted Any shiny metalic, gold, silver, chrome, etc. cap (H$1 at 1%)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

predicted Animal print, transparent, rainbow cap (H$1 at 1%)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

predicted Spotted, Checked, or striped cap (H$1 at 2%)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

Level 14, Prophet (H$111,266)

predicted Secondary color: Purple, Orange, Green (H$1 at 2%)

Comments (7)

1

aregine Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

I bet my picture does NOT represent the winning cap!

posted 1 year ago

2

infernalmachine [Power User]

[Power User]

Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,010,927)

Shame. It's so purtey.

posted 1 year ago

3

jenniandboys [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,875,421)

market has been reopened until the gold medal match

posted 1 year ago

4

aregine Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

Level 6, Player (H$2,611)

My dad showed me that LA Times commented on my question. =) Oh what people would bet on!

posted 1 year ago

5

jenniandboys [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,875,421)

Here's the article, if anyone is interested
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/webscout/2008/08/olympics-take-o.html

posted 1 year ago

6

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,388,814)

Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,388,814)

hahahaha that 3-legged race photo is hilarious!

posted 1 year ago

7

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$584,361)

Level 16, Oracle (H$584,361)

@aregine..congrads on gettin your question in the LA times. i would think nigel would throw thousand HD-$ your way. just don't share any of it with valorhonor :O)

posted 1 year ago

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