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How many HD'ers will have 3+ active entertainment predictions for the week beginning July 21, 2008?

Settled as Less than 476

A Hubdubber who has at least three active predictions in the entertainment category will appear on the weekly percent gain leaderboard in the entertainment category.

Number of Hubdubbers on entertainment weekly percent gain leaderboard:

Week beginning July 14: 487
Week beginning July 7: 485
week beginning June 30: 486

This market will be settled based on the number of Hubdubbers on the weekly percent gain leaderboard for entertainment.


Settlement details: As determined by Hubdub administrators.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Less than 476
6%
At least 476 but less than 486
26%
At least 486, but less than 491
41%
At least 491, but less than 501
19%
At least 501
7%
Activity: H$1,207
Settled as Less than 476 on Sun 27th Jul 1:20pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 26th Jul 7:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 27th Jul 1:20pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 26th Jul 7:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 476: 5%, At least 476 but less than 486: 30%, At least 486, but less than 491: 40%, At least 491, but less than 501: 20%, At least 501: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Jul 7:50am PDT by onedave[Power User]
Suspended Sat 26th Jul 7:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 26th Jul 10:20am PDT by dieseldog: not sure when the week ends. so i'll request settlement and see what happens. 463 1:18pm EST 7-26-08 so less than 476 wins.
Settlement requested Sat 26th Jul 11:02pm PDT by dieseldog: 2am EST 7-27-08 465
can we settle now?
Settled as 'Less than 476' Sun 27th Jul 1:20pm PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 26th Jul 7:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 27th Jul 1:20pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 26th Jul 7:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (13)

13 predictions

16 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted At least 486, but less than 491 (H$50 at 41%)
17 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted At least 491, but less than 501 (H$100 at 19%)
17 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted At least 476 but less than 486 (H$100 at 26%)
17 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted At least 491, but less than 501 (H$100 at 18%)
17 weeks ago
angelbaby3207 predicted Less than 476 (H$5 at 5%)

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