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What will the fate be of the Nanga Parbat climbers?

Settled as Both rescued by helicopter

Simon Kehrer and Walter Nones had been stranded on Nanga Parbat, also known as Killer Mountain, since early this week when their colleague, Karl Unterkircher, fell into a crevasse and died.

"They have been spotted. They have also been reached with some equipment, food and other things. We dropped them a bag with some equipment," Italian embassy spokesman Oddo Sergio told Reuters.

However, he said bad weather and the sharp incline were hampering efforts to rescue them.

Nanga Parbat is the world's ninth-highest peak. Its name in the Urdu language means Naked Mountain.

The 26,660 feet high peak at the western end of the Himalayas was first conquered by German Buhl, of Germany, in 1953 after 31 people died attempting it.

Since then more have died on its slopes and fewer people try to climb it because it is regarded as technically one of the most difficult mountains to climb.

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSISL37020080719
http://www.agi.it/italy/news/200807181120-cro-ren0017-art.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nanga_Parbat
http://www.mensvogue.com/health/slideshows/2007/12/dangerous_mountains?slide=4
 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

Both descend to base on their own
4%
Both descend to base accompanied by other climbers
7%
Both rescued by helicopter
85%
Different ways both are rescued
3%
One or both are not rescued
2%
Activity: H$70,198
Settled as Both rescued by helicopter on Thu 24th Jul 1:45pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 4:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Thu 24th Jul 1:45pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Jul 12am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Both descend to base on their own: 10%, Both descend to base accompanied by other climbers: 30%, Both rescued by helicopter: 30%, Different ways both are rescued: 20%, One or both are not rescued: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Jul 2:30pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Thu 24th Jul 4:06am PDT by kruijs[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Thu 24th Jul 4:06am PDT by kruijs[Power User]: Both rescued by helicopter, at least two hours ago.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iVg-LbdEkfsogUbl-_hH911HP4OgD9243S8G0
http://www.agi.it/world/news/200807241018-cro-ren0013-art.html (market suspended)
Settled as 'Both rescued by helicopter' Thu 24th Jul 1:45pm PDT by lesley[Admin]:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iVg-LbdEkfsogUbl-_hH911HP4OgD9243S8G0
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

4 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Both rescued by helicopter (H$2,000 at 81%)
4 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted Both rescued by helicopter (H$350 at 76%)
4 weeks ago
sirvonrohr predicted Both rescued by helicopter (H$20 at 75%)
4 weeks ago
melofan predicted Both rescued by helicopter (H$50 at 70%)
4 weeks ago
kida predicted Both rescued by helicopter (H$300 at 68%)
more

Comments

  2 kruijs[Power User]
AFP reports:
Maurizio Gallo, Gnaro Mondinelli and two carriers have departed the base to be coming up to meet Walter Nones and Simon Kehrer.
http://www.dernewsticker.de/news.php?id=29007 (German)
posted 4 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
"they should be descending by 600 more metres on the glacier to get to the point at which the helicopter can pick them up."

http://www.agi.it/world/news/200807230950-cro-ren0001-art.html
posted 4 weeks ago

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