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Will semtex stolen in France be found or returned by Aug. 20?

Settled as No

For those who don't know what Semtex is, it's "a powerful explosive, odorless and practically impossible to detect, which is regularly used by terrorist organizations." It is similar to C4. In France at a storage faculty 28 Kilograms of it were lifted, more then enough to cause some damage.


It turns out that due to bureaucratic failings the explosives were not even supposed to be at the facility until 2009. A French officials exact words were "A theft of explosives used by bomb-disposal experts to destroy munitions retrieved from former battlefields has taken place on a site adjacent to the supply depot ...,"


Currently detectives and Frances anti-terror squad are investigating the theft.

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Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$73,318
Settled as No on Thu 21st Aug 6:06am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 20th Aug 4:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Thu 21st Aug 6:06am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 20th Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Jul 10:58pm PDT by curios
Suspended Wed 20th Aug 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 21st Aug 5:31am PDT by chatarra: Can be settled as "No".
No record of semtex being recovered per:
http://news.google.com/news?q=semtex+stolen+in+France&ie=UTF-8
Detonators were recovered, but the actual semtex was not.
Settled as 'No' Thu 21st Aug 6:06am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/07/22/europe/EU-France-Stolen-Explosives.php

As of the settlement date only the detonators for the semtex has been found
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (51)

51 predictions

1 week ago
brjschmidt predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
1 week ago
mistert predicted Yes (H$40 at 2%)
1 week ago
jamest predicted No (H$74 at 98%)
2 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted No (H$186 at 93%)
2 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted Yes (H$10 at 7%)
more

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