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Will the price of gasoline fall below $4.00 before Labor Day?
News released by 5:40 Central that the price for Gasoline-all grades was $3.935 . . . question settled as yes, price drops below $4 before Labor Day
Background:
A third option is given just for the heck of it.
Haven't seen it below $4 since 5/26 when it was $3.986 . . .
We're using the gasoline-all grades for settlement from the Energy Information Administration . . .
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_nus_w.htm
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes, price drops below $4.000 before Labor Day |
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No, doesn't drop below $4.000 before Labor Day |
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Some other outcome |
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Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 6:15am PDT Settlement date: Tue 5th Aug 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 4th Aug 3:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes, price drops below $4.000 before Labor Day: 34%, No, doesn't drop below $4.000 before Labor Day: 64%, Some other outcome: 2%
Action history:
bayoubear 
dieseldog: 393.5 settle as yes please.
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_nus_w.htm
bayoubear: News released by 5:40 Central that the price for Gasoline-all grades was $3.935 . . . question settled as yes, price drops below $4 before Labor Day
Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 6:15am PDT Settlement date: Tue 5th Aug 4:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 4th Aug 3:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (45)
45 predictions
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ErikComments (12)
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Which is your intent for settlement? (regular or all grades)
Thank you!
Yep, the question itself should probably just say 'gasoline' rather than regular, since all the background refers to 'all grades' and every question I've ever done related to this uses the "all grades' data as settlement grounds...I'll flag and ask for a change in the wording of the question.
I'm getting my regular here on the Mississippi Gulf Coast for anywhere between $3.84-$3.99.
FYI
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