
How many people will attend Obamas speech in Berlin?
It appears there were around 200.000 people at the speech
http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSL238333620080725
Background:>
The public area beginning at the Brandenburg Gate opens 16 o'clock. The speech itself is expected to begin at 19:00h.
For safety reasons the organizers ask to not bring along any bags. Posters or transparencies are not permitted. Just like in Beijing. It is not reported if chants are practiced already, though.
The authorities in Berlin expect a large visitor congestion: Between 10.000 and one million people are expected, said Ephraim Gothe.
Fan miles, as known from the EURO 2008 with large video walls are planned.
Go, Barack, go!
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iaz3rr95XrLM6XONohYDrGhN5wiQD921J9P00
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,566899,00.html
Settled
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less than 10,000 |
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10,000 to less than 50,000 |
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50,000 to less than 100,000 |
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100,000 to less than 250,000 |
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250,000 to less than 500,000 |
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500,000 to less than 1,000,000 |
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1,000,000 or more |
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Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Thu 24th Jul 2:59am PDT
Settlement date: Thu 24th Jul 11:50pm PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Jul 2:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
less than 10,000: 1%, 10,000 to less than 50,000: 7%, 50,000 to less than 100,000: 10%, 100,000 to less than 250,000: 19%, 250,000 to less than 500,000: 35%, 500,000 to less than 1,000,000: 20%, 1,000,000 or more: 8%
Action history:
Winning prediction, according to Fox News and the AP appears to be:
"100,000 to less than 250,000"
"The presumptive Democratic presidential nominee took the podium at his first major speech of his overseas trip to a cheering audience of thousands. The Obama campaign said the speech drew more than 200,000 people, and police confirmed that number — making it his largest audience to date."
<http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/07/24/obama-urges-renewed-alliance-with-europe-in-berlin-speech/>
Although "confirmed by police" it may be a good idea to wait for another confirming source (Reuters?) ...
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aK0YPnI9IipU&refer=home
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/07/24/1220555.aspx
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5gfwUn2thxcr35LMgWkTMe4wGxR8w
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,567922,00.html
"(...) over 200,000 according to police estimates (...)"
Obama was seen by 'around 200,000' according to Sky News:
http://tinyurl.com/5ke6gd
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080724/ap_on_el_pr/obama_germany
http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSL238333620080725
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (227)
227 predictions
Comments (17)
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I've been to the Brandenburg gate, but I don't have a feel for the general capacity of the area you're describing, any chance you can provide some historical context for the size of past crowds??
There have been large scale events there, EURO 2008, World Cup 2006 (1 Million people), recently and in the past the "Love Parade", a house music festival (last one in Berlin: 2006, 1,2 Million).
http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stra%C3%9Fe_des_17._Juni
http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Love_Parade#2006
All these elements lead to high turnout. And Berliners are a high turn out kind of people from my experience there.
He even claimed the Wall came down because he sung "I've been looking for freedom"
hilarious!
I think if Obamas team get a high number of people to got there, they won't ne more than 200.000, but I assume the number will be much lesser.
Police estimated that more than 200,000 people came to watch the speech, according to The Associated Press.
They are so popular that some folk would even suffer through a political speech at the end of the performance :-)
Instead, he claimed that "many planes were forced to turn back" from the Berlin Airlift because of the bad weather, that "The size of our [US] forces was no match for the much larger Soviet Army... All that stood in the way was Berlin.", that "you, the German people, tore down that wall" (as if they acted by themselves)... and a host of other things that were, at best, mischevious, or worse, bald faced lies
I would not call that brilliant
I saw this photo -- thought it was pretty neat.
<http://www.smh.com.au/ffximage/2008/07/25/obamaberlin_wideweb__470x303,0.jpg>
(@ dieseldog -- while there are several numbers, they all fit within the "100,000 to less than 250,000" range, so I would anticipate an easy settlement ;-)
By the way, I am not real excited about any candidate in this election, but Barack scares me!
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