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How many words will be in the next President's dogs name?

Current forecast: New First Dog has a one word name (55% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is New First Dog has a one word name with a probability of 55% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Over two dozen of the United States Presidents had pet dogs while in the White House. One in three American households have pet dogs.

It is most common for Presidents to have dogs with single word names such as; Lucky, Duke, Buddy, Lucky or the obscure Sweetlips (Washington) or the non descript Him and Her (Johnson).

Market is asking, when the next President moves into the White House, will the first ***NEW*** family dog that lives in the White House with them have a single word name, or will the dog have a multiple word name?
 
Forecast history, %
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New First Dog has a one word name
55%
New First Dog has name with two or more words
18%
No first dog, instead a cat by any name
7%
No new dog by March 1st, 2009
20%
Activity: H$3,404
Question suspends in 26 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 1st Mar 2009 3:59pm PST (26 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: New First Dog has a one word name: 50%, New First Dog has name with two or more words: 15%, No first dog, instead a cat by any name: 10%, No new dog by March 1st, 2009: 25%

Action history:

Created Sun 20th Jul 6:43pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (24)

24 predictions

4 weeks ago
anaverageamerican[Power User] predicted New First Dog has a one word name (H$50 at 57%)
4 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted New First Dog has a one word name (H$20 at 56%)
4 weeks ago
reverend_right predicted New First Dog has a one word name (H$350 at 56%)
5 weeks ago
swilson[Power User] predicted New First Dog has name with two or more words (H$100 at 18%)
5 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted New First Dog has name with two or more words (H$17 at 17%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 onedave
@valornhonor: Does the President have to buy or adopt after being inaugurated?

If I remember right, the Clintons had Socks when they moved into the White House, but adopted Buddy during Bill's presidency.
posted 5 weeks ago
@ onedave

Thanks for your question. To keep it interested I'm asking about a newly announced pet, as I tried to say in the last sentence. If the new President moves in and says something like, "Me and my wife and kid(s) are thrilled to be here and our family and our dog are adjusting from our home in Illinois/Arizona/whereever to these new digs.." THAT wouldn't count, I'm specifically asking about a NEW pet dog that joins the family AFTER the new President and family move into the Big House.
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 onedave
Here is a list of presidential pets: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Presidential_pets. It appears that McKinley was the last president without either a dog or cat.
posted 5 weeks ago

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