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Will another bomber crash off or in Guam during 2008?

Current forecast: 29% chance 6%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 29% likely to happen (down 6% in last 1 day)

A B-52 with six crew members has crashed off of Guam. This is the second bomber to crash off of Guam this year (the first was a B-2 stealth bomber worth $1.4BILLION).


http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,386981,00.html

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
29%
No
71%
Activity: H$30,034
Question suspends in 12 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. 'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (12 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. 'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'... read all

 

Predictions (50)

50 predictions

1 week ago
youbet predicted No (H$250 at 71%)
1 week ago
halberdier3 predicted No (H$20 at 71%)
1 week ago
gcruik predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
1 week ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$3,333 at 68%)
1 week ago
cheesenips predicted No (H$500 at 65%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Please note creator's clarification:
'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'
posted 11 weeks ago

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