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Will another bomber crash off or in Guam during 2008?

Current forecast: 19% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 19% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

A B-52 with six crew members has crashed off of Guam. This is the second bomber to crash off of Guam this year (the first was a B-2 stealth bomber worth $1.4BILLION).


http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,386981,00.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. 'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
19%
No
81%
Activity: H$61,299
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Mon 21st Jul 9:55am PDT by skipper[Power User]
Clarified Sat 26th Jul 9:27am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Skipper's Clarification: 'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (100)

100 predictions

3 days ago
drachenstein predicted No (H$250 at 81%)
3 days ago
greg77 predicted No (H$270 at 81%)
1 week ago
greg77 predicted No (H$1,000 at 81%)
1 week ago
rayz predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
1 week ago
greg77 predicted No (H$1,200 at 82%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Please note creator's clarification:
'By off Guam I mean a plane that was flying into or out of the US AirForce base on Guam.'
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 b52jetdoc
Well you say Bomber crash off of guam in the title, but in comments you say bomber. Which Airframes are you talking about?
posted 2 weeks ago

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