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What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109126/Gallup-Daily-Obama-48-McCain-40.aspx
Background:
Note: Gallup polls are the result of a 3 day rolling average so the poll released on Monday will be based on surveys taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Settlement details:
http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx
posted near 1300 on Monday July 28.
If no poll is posted that day for some reason, will be the next released gallup daily poll.
Settled
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Obama leads by 9 points or more |
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Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points |
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Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points |
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Statistical Tie +/- 2 points |
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McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points |
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McCain leads by 6,7 or 8 points |
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McCain leads by 9 points or more |
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Suspend date: Mon 28th Jul 9:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 28th Jul 1:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Jul 9:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 9 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 30%, Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points: 40%, Statistical Tie +/- 2 points: 20%, McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points: 3%, McCain leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 1%, McCain leads by 9 points or more: 1%
Action history:
jenniandboys 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
:
Winning prediction = "Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points"
"Gallup Daily: Obama 48%, McCain 40%"
Obama up by 8 points
<http://www.gallup.com/poll/109126/Gallup-Daily-Obama-48-McCain-40.aspx>
ryanj: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109126/Gallup-Daily-Obama-48-McCain-40.aspx
Suspend date: Mon 28th Jul 9:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 28th Jul 1:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Jul 9:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (249)
249 predictions
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jenniandboys
259 settled, 15 voided
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109105/Gallup-Daily-Obama-There-Europe-Effect.aspx
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109102/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-40.aspx
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