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Will Genentech be bought out by Roche before September 1st?

Settled as No

Settled as NO . . . no acquisition has taken place as of 9/1/08

September 3, 2008, 12:18 pm
The fallout from Roche’s looming acquisition of Genentech has started. Roche will close a research facility in Palo Alto, Calif., where a 1,000 people work, the San Jose Mercury News reports.
Back in July Roche said it would pull the plug on the lab in Stanford Research Park, but the company hedged, saying the closure would happen if the bid for Genentech were successful. Genentech has demurred so far, but most people think it’s just a matter of time before the deal happens. And now, Roche told the Mercury News it’s closing the plant, no matter what.
http://blogs.wsj.com/health/2008/09/03/genentech-deal-spells-end-for-roche-lab-in-california/?mod=googlenews_wsj

Background:

GENEVA -- Swiss pharmaceutical maker Roche on Monday offered $43.7 billion for the remaining shares of its U.S. biotech partner Genentech Inc., seizing the opportunity offered by the weak U.S. dollar to grab a bigger share of earnings from such Genentech drugs as blockbuster cancer treatment Avastin. Roche Holdings AG already owns 55.9 percent of the South San Francisco, Calif.-based drugmaker. It offered $89 per share, 8.8 percent above Genentech's closing price Friday and 19 percent above the price a month ago. But Genentech shares climbed well above that offer in premarket trading on Monday, jumping $13.11, or 16 percent, to $94.93 -- a bet that the bidding will go higher. Genentech's board is expected to name a committee to evaluate the offer. Roche shares dropped 2 percent to 175.90 francs ($172.06) on the Zurich exchange after the disclosure, which coincided with Roche's announcement of a 2 percent decline in its first half net profit. (AP/LA Times)

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-genentech22-2008jul22,0,7261844.story
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$50,420
Settled as No on Thu 4th Sep 7:39am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 31st Aug 4:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 7:39am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 31st Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Mon 21st Jul 10:43am PDT by lola
Suspended Sun 31st Aug 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

6 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$140 at 88%)
6 weeks ago
leeangelo predicted No (H$50 at 88%)
6 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$500 at 87%)
6 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted No (H$20 at 64%)
6 weeks ago
rassi predicted No (H$50 at 64%)

Comments (2)

  1 lola
8/13/08 News Update: Biotechnology giant Genentech Inc. rejected a $43.7 billion buyout offer from its majority owner Roche on Wednesday but said it is open to a higher takeover bid. http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2008/08/13/financial/f065722D76.DTL&tsp=1
posted 8 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
As in the comment with the settlement, the term "looming" indicates that the deal has not been completed as of the settlement date. Settled as NO.
posted 5 weeks ago

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