Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
My Predictions

Will any of these obscure things be true about Super Bowl XLIII?

Current forecast: Games ends and NONE of these things happened (46% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Games ends and NONE of these things happened with a probability of 46% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Background: Any of these occurring would be highly unusual but newsworthy.

1.) There has never been a Super Bowl game that went into overtime.

2.) There has only been one player for a losing team that earned MVP honors at the Super Bowl, it was Super Bowl V and the player was Chuck Howley of the Dallas Cowboys.

3.) Football prides itself on playing through ANY weather, but Florida can receive some severe weather from time to time, it would take something very substantial to interrupt this game but it will be played in an open stadium.

4.) Super Bowl tickets are notoriously difficult and expensive to get but anything is possible.

5.) Three times a wild card team has had to win three games on the road to make it to and then win the Super Bowl. Will it happen now a fourth time?

6.) The Browns, Jags, Texans, Lions, Saints and Cardinals have never made it to the Big Game.

7.) Will a wardrobe malfunction of a showcased performer during the pre-game, game, or half-time shows inadvertently reveal any body part that would normally be covered by a typical swimsuit? Chances are no.

8.) Will the originally scheduled half time entertainment NOT perform for ANY reason giving 48 hours notice or less? In other words, if a primary half time entertainer cancels at least 48 hours before kickoff then this would be NO.

9.) Will the winning team overcome a deficit of 25 points or more during the game?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Game goes into overtime
17%
MVP played for LOSING team
4%
Weather interrupts game play
5%
Stadium is NOT sold out
0%
Winner = Wild Card that won 3 road games to qual
6%
Browns, Jags, Texans, Lions, Saints or Cards win
6%
Wardrobe malfunction / primary performer
2%
Winner overcomes 25 point deficit during game
3%
ANY combination of above
11%
Games ends and NONE of these things happened
46%
Activity: H$5,064
Question suspends in 20 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 29th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (20 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Game goes into overtime: 5%, MVP played for LOSING team: 2%, Weather interrupts game play: 7%, Stadium is NOT sold out: 1%, Winner = Wild Card that won 3 road games to qual: 5%, Browns, Jags, Texans, Lions, Saints or Cards win: 10%, Wardrobe malfunction / primary performer: 5%, Winner overcomes 25 point deficit during game: 5%, ANY combination of above: 9%, Games ends and NONE of these things happened: 51%

Action history:

Created Mon 21st Jul 11:08pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

6 days ago
lhunt95 predicted Game goes into overtime (H$15 at 16%)
1 week ago
lilzhangster predicted ANY combination of above (H$50 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Games ends and NONE of these things happened (H$20 at 46%)
5 weeks ago
anaverageamerican[Power User] predicted Games ends and NONE of these things happened (H$100 at 51%)
5 weeks ago
anaverageamerican[Power User] predicted Winner overcomes 25 point deficit during game (H$20 at 4%)
more

Comments (10)

Good supplemental obscure bets for friendly wagering around chips and beer.
posted 6 weeks ago
Good question.

The sixth answer should read "Browns, Jags..." instead of "Broncos...", but not a big deal. However, does one of those teams have to win, or just make an appearance?
posted 6 weeks ago
@ canucksfan9

Thank you yes, my apologies to John Elway and friends... should read Browns, not Broncos, and yes, for this option to win, they'd have to win, not just arrive.ould s yo
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 donal[Admin]
Love this question

My one concern is what happens if two of the items listed occur. Outcomes should be mutually exclusive. If two of the items listed occur, the "Any combo" outcome would probably be the settlement but anyone who wagered on the individual outcomes which occur would argue that they should receive winnings.

That said however, I think it should stand for now and any difficulties can be dealt with if they do arise.
posted 6 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
I think if more than one thing occurs then the settlement should be "ANY combination". People should take that in mind when wagering.
posted 6 weeks ago
@ donal

Thanks for the correction and recognition!
posted 6 weeks ago
  7 cici
Too far in the future for me. But, there's only ONE team, Tampa Bay!!!!
posted 6 weeks ago
the jags winning is probably the safest bet on here... though a bit of lighting will put a game on hold as well.
posted 5 weeks ago
  9 markc
This question is incorrectly constructed. All options must be mutually exclusive or the system does not work.
posted 2 weeks ago
  10 cognos[Power User]
@markc
option 9 "any combination of above" is a valid prediction, and covers the mutual exclusivity you mentioned.
posted 2 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more