Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
My Predictions

When will Ron Paul Revolution Cola overtake Yes We Can cola?

Current forecast: Revolution cola does not overtake yes we can cola. (93% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Revolution cola does not overtake yes we can cola. with a probability of 93% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Ron Paul Revolution cola has been offered on the Jones' web site, for three less weeks than "Capitol Hillary" or "Pure McCain" cola. In the short time that it has been offered, it has overtaken sales of the hillary and mccain sodas.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

July-August
2%
September
2%
October
4%
Revolution cola does not overtake yes we can cola.
93%
Activity: H$39,085
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As seen on www.campaigncola.com. This market suspends on October 31, if it does not overtake Yes We Can cola before then, it settles as "does not overtake" regardless of the ultimate length of the Jones Soda promotion. If the revolution cola overtakes the yes we can soda, but loses its lead, the market settles.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 4:59pm PDT (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: July-August: 25%, September: 20%, October: 30%, Revolution cola does not overtake yes we can cola.: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 1:28am PDT by yonemoto
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As seen on www.campaigncola.com. This market suspends on October 31, if it does not overtake Yes We Can cola before then, it settles as "does not overtake" regardless of the ultimate length of the Jones Soda promotion. If the revolution cola overtakes the yes we can soda, but loses its lead, the market settles.... read all

 

Predictions (71)

71 predictions

1 week ago
chryslercraig predicted October (H$50 at 3%)
1 week ago
pippi1500 predicted Revolution cola does not overtake yes we can cola. (H$50 at 94%)
2 weeks ago
dmn322 predicted July-August (H$20 at 2%)
2 weeks ago
dmn322 predicted September (H$20 at 1%)
2 weeks ago
dmn322 predicted October (H$20 at 3%)
more

Comments (24)

@ yonemoto

Way cool, thanks for showcasing this, everybody raise your bottles! A toast to yonemoto!
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 jimmsolo
I'm gonna go buy me some Obama cola!
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 yonemoto
Good job whoever uploaded the Image -- that's the MCCAIN cola, which is not really referenced in this market.
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
I changed image to obama cola.
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
Haha thanks yonemoto - that was me, I was so baffled by the whole concept that I mixed up my colas!!
posted 5 weeks ago
  6 yonemoto
thanks for taking care of it!
posted 4 weeks ago
Obama has a 3000+ bottle lead on this one, it's getting bigger and he's nearly doubled revolution. Pretty solid bet.
posted 3 weeks ago
  8 yonemoto
I've been tracking the two for about a month now, and Ron Paul's sales rate are double Obama's; (Remember Obama cola has been on the shelves for about three months longer than Ron Paul Cola).
posted 3 weeks ago
  9 yonemoto
replace "months" in the above statement with "weeks"
posted 3 weeks ago
Yeah, not today. Obama is the only one to sell any units in the last 5 hours. Go Obama (Cola).
posted 3 weeks ago
3198 lead
posted 3 weeks ago
3234 lead for Obama and Revolution hasn't sold one. :)
posted 3 weeks ago
Sold once since it was a 3198 lead.
posted 3 weeks ago
Ron Paul supporters already gave their $$$ to Ron Paul... they can't afford to buy soda
posted 3 weeks ago
Obama leads by 3306 now. The lead is growing and growing!
posted 2 weeks ago
3342 2 hours later, this is a lock! Glad I bet so much money on it. :)
posted 2 weeks ago
3204, Ron Paul is surging! :)
posted 2 weeks ago
3246 lead for Obama, no Ron Paul Sales since yesterday.
posted 2 weeks ago
3234 today!
posted 2 weeks ago
3180 today, slow and stead won't win this race by October!
posted 1 week ago
Today's update, 3186 lead for Obama.
posted 1 week ago
Today's update, 3288, yet somehow people are betting for Ron Paul. Hey, I loved the guy too, but his Cola can't win!
posted 1 week ago
3336 - Obama's getting the DNC bump!
posted 6 days ago
3438, it's growing and growing!
posted 1 day ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more