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Will Maggie Gyllenhaal win an oscar for her role in Dark Knight ?

Current forecast: 32% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 32% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Will maggie win an oscar for her role?
 
% chance over time
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Yes
32%
No
68%
Activity: H$1,971
Question suspends in 19 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (19 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 6:20am PDT by ryanb37
Clarified Tue 22nd Jul 8:03am PDT by tisha[Admin]: question recategorised
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

3 weeks ago
freedenboy predicted No (H$50 at 68%)
4 weeks ago
hoernla predicted No (H$20 at 68%)

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