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How many oscars will dark knight win

Current forecast: 3-5 (31% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 3-5 with a probability of 31% (down 1% in last 1 day)

Alot of buzz about the dark knight how many will it win


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

None
16%
1-2
26%
3-5
31%
6 or more
27%
Activity: H$3,062
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: None: 25%, 1-2: 35%, 3-5: 25%, 6 or more: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 6:26am PDT by ryanb37
Suspended Tue 22nd Jul 7am PDT by kruijs[Power User]: Flagged by super user: options are not mutual exclusive
Clarified Tue 22nd Jul 7:25am PDT by tisha[Admin]: last option changed to '6 or more'
Unsuspended Tue 22nd Jul 7:29am PDT by tisha[Admin]: option text changed so now mutually exclusive
Clarified Tue 22nd Jul 7:50am PDT by tisha[Admin]: market reclassified to awards

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

4 days ago
milliondollarbaby predicted 3-5 (H$100 at 30%)
4 weeks ago
jr_bob_dobbs predicted None (H$2 at 16%)
7 weeks ago
henrymarketing97 predicted 3-5 (H$50 at 29%)
10 weeks ago
psycho3764 predicted 1-2 (H$100 at 26%)
10 weeks ago
badb0y predicted 3-5 (H$100 at 29%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Please note - last option has been changed from '5 or more' to '6 or more' as the previous wording meant outcomes were not exclusive
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
Thanks, tisha
posted 17 weeks ago

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