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Which network, if any, will Jay Leno sign a new contract with?

Current forecast: ABC (37% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is ABC with a probability of 37% (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Fox
31%
ABC
37%
CBS
13%
None, Jay Leno retires or stays with N
18%
Activity: H$1,205
Question suspends in 32 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (32 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Fox: 35%, ABC: 35%, CBS: 15%, None, Jay Leno retires or stays with N: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 6:27am PDT by thomismydad[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (11)

11 predictions

4 weeks ago
tschneider81 predicted None, Jay Leno retires or stays with N (H$100 at 17%)
5 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted ABC (H$20 at 38%)
11 weeks ago
hoosierguy88 predicted ABC (H$100 at 38%)
12 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted None, Jay Leno retires or stays with N (H$100 at 16%)
12 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted ABC (H$100 at 36%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Please note - the suspend date for this question has been moved to, to be on the safe side, as Leno is doing the Tonight show until May 2009.
posted 12 weeks ago
'I've been saying for some time that, judging from Leno's animus towards Jeff Zucker who brutally threw him under a bus for Conan O'Brien in 2009 even though Jay is still No. 1 in late night, there was no way Leno would stick with NBC. So, I say it's clear that Jay is ABC-bound and on the air there in 2010. I also hear from sources that Kimmel is "OK" with having his time slot moved.'

(From Nikki Finke's blog, deadlinehollywooddaily.com)
posted 12 weeks ago

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