Search
Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
      ForumsNew!
My Predictions
TopAllPoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral
Created Tue 22nd Jul 6:30am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions » General » Weather » 

Who will catch Dolly's eye first?

Settled as Eye crosses first over Texas soil

Hurrican Dolly is bearing down on the Mexico/Texas border, but Hurricane tracks are notoriously fickle.

If/when the eye makes landfall, whose soil will it be?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Eye crosses first over Mexican soil
4%
Eye crosses first over Texas soil
93%
Eye crosses over top of border exactly
2%
Any other outcome
0%
Activity: H$19,892
Settled as Eye crosses first over Texas soil on Wed 23rd Jul 3:02pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 24th Jul 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 23rd Jul 3:02pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 23rd Jul 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Eye crosses first over Mexican soil: 80%, Eye crosses first over Texas soil: 15%, Eye crosses over top of border exactly: 3%, Any other outcome: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 6:30am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Settlement requested Wed 23rd Jul 12:35pm PDT by meanderingsearcher: show details
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/231930.shtml
Suspended Wed 23rd Jul 12:48pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Flagged by super user: Question suspended pending settlement review.
Settlement requested Wed 23rd Jul 1:07pm PDT by chatarra: show details
Should be settled as "Eye crosses first over Texas soil".

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/211454.shtml

AT 200 PM CDT...1900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
OVER LAGUNA MADRE ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND 30 MILES...51 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF
RAYMONDVILLE.
Settled as 'Eye crosses first over Texas soil' Wed 23rd Jul 3:02pm PDT by tisha[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (96)

96 predictions

11 weeks ago
kida predicted Eye crosses over top of border exactly (H$20 at 3%)
11 weeks ago
kida predicted Eye crosses first over Mexican soil (H$20 at 7%)
11 weeks ago
lanceo23 predicted Eye crosses first over Texas soil (H$900 at 89%)
11 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Eye crosses first over Texas soil (H$10,000 at 95%)
11 weeks ago
opie predicted Eye crosses first over Texas soil (H$100 at 71%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 valornhonor[Power User]
I can't bet on this until tonight but at 20:1 odds, someone may want to lay a few dollars on hitting the border exactly...
posted 11 weeks ago
  2 chatarra
I was thinking the same thing, while I was at work. But in my job, I don't have access to Hubdub.
Now the odds are not as favorable.

Interesting question - I am always fascinated by the power of Mother nature.
posted 11 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment