Created Tue 22nd Jul 9:32am PDT by 
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ML-Implode.com - How Many Lenders Will Implode In July And August?
Current forecast: 10 to 12 (37% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 10 to 12 with a probability of 37% (unchanged in last 1 day)
The Mortgage Lender Implode-O-Meter has been tracking the downfall of US mortgage lenders since the start of 2007. As of July 22nd they have tracked 267 major US lending operations that have imploded. They have recorded the following number of lenders imploding over the past 4 months:
April: 9 lenders
May: 8 lenders
June: 3 lenders
July (so far): 3 lenders
Has the credit crunch run its course or is the more turmoil to come?
April: 9 lenders
May: 8 lenders
June: 3 lenders
July (so far): 3 lenders
Has the credit crunch run its course or is the more turmoil to come?
Make your prediction!
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6 or less |
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7 to 9 |
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10 to 12 |
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13 to 15 |
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16 plus |
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Activity: H$35,896
Question suspends in 1 day
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by www.ml-implode.com at 2400 on August 31st, minus the figure at the start of July, 264.
Suspend date: this Saturday 8:59am PDT (1 day to go)
Initial likelihoods:
6 or less: 5%, 7 to 9: 15%, 10 to 12: 50%, 13 to 15: 20%, 16 plus: 10%
Action history:
Created Tue 22nd Jul 9:32am PDT by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by www.ml-implode.com at 2400 on August 31st, minus the figure at the start of July, 264.... read all
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122 predictions
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