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Olympics 2008; Will any sailing team blame algae plumes for failing to win a medal?

Settled as No

http://www.nbcolympics.com/sailing/resultsandschedules/index.html

In fact, other stories report that they did a pretty good job of clearing and working around it.

"The algae was cleared off the 19 square miles of the race course by thousands of Chinese fishermen, soldiers and citizen volunteers. But it's blooming again. Three hundred fishing trawlers are sent out each morning at 5 a.m. and 10 a.m. to scoop it up, and a netting system has been arrayed to block its intrusion. Sailors have seen patches but have been able to sail around them."

http://www.newsobserver.com/2892/story/1177281.html

http://www.newsobserver.com/2892/story/1180329.html

Background:

Water quality has been a concern for the sailing events, given that many coastal Chinese cities dump untreated sewage into the sea. At the same time, rivers and tributaries emptying into coastal waters are often contaminated with high levels of nitrates from agricultural and industrial runoff. These nitrates contribute to the red tides of algae that often bloom along sections of China's coastline.

Many thousands of citizens have volunteered to clean up the sea. As of mid-July, most of the sailing teams have indicated that they no longer fear a problem with algae.

This question asks, Will any sailing team, blame the algae bloom for causing them to place lower than Gold?

A related market ...
http://www.hubdub.com/m10276/Will_any_race_in_the_Sailing_Regatta_at_the_2008_Olympics_be_postponed_due_to_algae_or_sea_weed


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$21,061
Settled as No on Sun 24th Aug 6:10pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 5am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 6:10pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 11:30am PDT by cognos[Power User]
Suspended Fri 8th Aug 5am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Mon 11th Aug 3:21am PDT by robuk[Admin]
Settlement requested Thu 21st Aug 11:23am PDT by jake: Sailing is complete. No mention of anybody blaming algae.

http://www.nbcolympics.com/sailing/resultsandschedules/index.html
Suspended Sun 24th Aug 5am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sun 24th Aug 6:10pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://www.nbcolympics.com/sailing/resultsandschedules/index.html

In fact, other stories report that they did a pretty good job of clearing and working around it.

"The algae was cleared off the 19 square miles of the race course by thousands of Chinese fishermen, soldiers and citizen volunteers. But it's blooming again. Three hundred fishing trawlers are sent out each morning at 5 a.m. and 10 a.m. to scoop it up, and a netting system has been arrayed to block its intrusion. Sailors have seen patches but have been able to sail around them."

http://www.newsobserver.com/2892/story/1177281.html

http://www.newsobserver.com/2892/story/1180329.html

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 5am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 6:10pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (36)

36 predictions

13 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted No (H$50 at 79%)
15 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$80 at 78%)
15 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 20%)
16 weeks ago
gradgrind predicted Yes (H$100 at 18%)
16 weeks ago
anaverageamerican predicted No (H$20 at 82%)
more

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