Created Tue 22nd Jul 2008 11:30am PST by

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

Will Radovan Karadzic die before his trial ends at the Hague?

Background: Slobodan Milosevic, former leader of the Serbian government, died before his war-crimes trials ended. see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slobodan_Milo%C5%A1evi%C4%87

This question asks if Radovan Karadzic will meet the same fate.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

31%

69%

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$32,792
Predictions: 66
Comments: 10

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 2008 11:30am PST by

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

Clarified Tue 22nd Jul 2008 3:45pm PST by

lesley [Admin]

: "die" would include murder

Suspended Thu 1st Jan 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Changed Description Fri 2nd Jan 4:49pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: show details

... %C5%A1evi%C4%87</a~~> <~~><br/> <br/> This question asks ... will meet the same fate~~. <~~.<br/> <br/>

Changed Suspend date Fri 2nd Jan 4:49pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: was: "2009-01-01 23:59:00"

Unsuspended Fri 2nd Jan 4:49pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: Trial not over (not properly begun even) and still alive

hide

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (66)

17 weeks ago

jahzino Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,429)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)

19 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,666,540)

predicted No (H$100 at 77%)

44 weeks ago

andy46 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,754)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 23%)

45 weeks ago

jogo

predicted Yes (H$100 at 22%)

45 weeks ago

bout3fitty Level 15, Seer (H$386,654)

predicted No (H$500 at 78%)

Comments (10)

gregmatta Level 16, Oracle (H$797,973)

He should be that lucky.

posted 1 year ago

valornhonor Level 10, Genius (H$11,641)

cognos, this is unlike you, you must feel strongly about this.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

This guy, Rad, was deep into the mess. More hands on, imho, that the 'Slob'. He then hides by staying in the open, acting like a doctor, while his 'comrades' take the fall. He meets the true definition of both Tyrant and Traitor. Both titles deserve the worst possible fate.

Yes, this is 'unlike' me. But when you consider the torture and death received at his hand or command, I have no problem posting a market such as this.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

and besides, I lost a few Marine buddies over there.

posted 1 year ago

valornhonor Level 10, Genius (H$11,641)

I suspected it was something like this, thank you for the explanation, I concur completely, tyrants and traitors like this deserve no quarter.

posted 1 year ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,697,453)

I see assisted suicide on the horizon.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

@buckeyetom
'assisted suicide', INDEED!
;)
you are a blast.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

Apparently, while in 'hiding', Rad would frequent the same bar where he used to hang out. According to other patrons, he actually picked up a common musical instrument and played a folk song. The folk song was about him and his heroic deeds.

posted 1 year ago

cognos Level 14, Prophet (H$146,241)

Talk about justice moving swiftly ...

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/07/31/karadzic.court/index.html

posted 1 year ago

jmd2009 Level 6, Player (H$2,348)

posted 46 weeks ago

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