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Will Radovan Karadzic die before his trial ends at the Hague?

Background: Slobodan Milosevic, former leader of the Serbian government, died before his war-crimes trials ended. see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slobodan_Milo%C5%A1evi%C4%87

This question asks if Radovan Karadzic will meet the same fate.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
31%
No
69%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 2008 11:30am PST by cognos
Clarified Tue 22nd Jul 2008 3:45pm PST by lesley[Admin]: "die" would include murder
Suspended Thu 1st Jan 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Fri 2nd Jan 4:49pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: was: "2009-01-01 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Fri 2nd Jan 4:49pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Trial not over (not properly begun even) and still alive

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (66)

17 weeks ago
jahzino predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
19 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
44 weeks ago
andy46 predicted Yes (H$100 at 23%)
45 weeks ago
jogo predicted Yes (H$100 at 22%)
45 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$500 at 78%)

Comments (10)

  1 gregmatta
He should be that lucky.
posted 1 year ago
cognos, this is unlike you, you must feel strongly about this.
posted 1 year ago
  3 cognos
This guy, Rad, was deep into the mess. More hands on, imho, that the 'Slob'. He then hides by staying in the open, acting like a doctor, while his 'comrades' take the fall. He meets the true definition of both Tyrant and Traitor. Both titles deserve the worst possible fate.

Yes, this is 'unlike' me. But when you consider the torture and death received at his hand or command, I have no problem posting a market such as this.
posted 1 year ago
  4 cognos
and besides, I lost a few Marine buddies over there.
posted 1 year ago
I suspected it was something like this, thank you for the explanation, I concur completely, tyrants and traitors like this deserve no quarter.
posted 1 year ago
I see assisted suicide on the horizon.
posted 1 year ago
  7 cognos
@buckeyetom
'assisted suicide', INDEED!
;)
you are a blast.
posted 1 year ago
  8 cognos
Apparently, while in 'hiding', Rad would frequent the same bar where he used to hang out. According to other patrons, he actually picked up a common musical instrument and played a folk song. The folk song was about him and his heroic deeds.
posted 1 year ago
  9 cognos
Talk about justice moving swiftly ...

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/07/31/karadzic.court/index.html
posted 1 year ago

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