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Will Michael Caine win an Oscar for The Dark Knight?

Current forecast: 15% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 15% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
15%
No
85%
Activity: H$1,103
Question suspends in 18 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 5:49pm PDT by ryanb37
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

2 weeks ago
forbichoff predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
xbigdaddyv2 predicted No (H$300 at 84%)
4 weeks ago
rooooo predicted Yes (H$50 at 16%)
5 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 16%)
5 weeks ago
rooooo predicted Yes (H$100 at 15%)

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