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Will Christopher Nolan Win the Best Director Oscar for The Dark Knight?

Current forecast: 22% chance 18%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 22% likely to happen (down 18% in last 1 day)

The direction of this film was near FLAWLESS will Christopher nolan win the oscar for dark knight


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
22%
No
78%
Activity: H$19,964
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 5:53pm PDT by ryanb37

Suspend date: Sat 3rd Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (32)

32 predictions

1 week ago
americube predicted No (H$20 at 77%)
2 weeks ago
alanfan predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)
2 weeks ago
jyamasaki predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
4 weeks ago
felix predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)
11 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)
more

Comments (3)

great flick but not what oscar is looking for. best supporting actor, costume, fx, and editing are where I see Dark Knight having a chance
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 tomg[Admin]
Who are the other contenders gonna be though?
posted 17 weeks ago
don't know anything of course, but I would think that Ron Howard and Clint Eastwood might be in there. both are academy darlings and have movies to be released 4th quarter (normal slot for oscar buzz)
posted 17 weeks ago

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