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Will there be an assassination against Obama during his speech in Berlin ?

Settled as No

Barrack Obama will hold his speech about transatlantic releationship in Berlin in Thursday 24th July.
The Federal Crime Police Office set the risk level 2 for this event. This means an assassination is possible. 700 policeman will save the place for the speech. The people on the public viewing areas and on the place in front of the "Siegessäule", where Obama will hold his speech, will not be allowed to take bags and posters with them.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$21,238
Settled as No on Thu 24th Jul 11:52pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 24th Jul 7am PDT

Settlement date: Thu 24th Jul 11:52pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Jul 7am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 10:51pm PDT by questmaster
Suspended Thu 24th Jul 7am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 24th Jul 3:17pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Obama appears to be alive.
Settlement requested Thu 24th Jul 5pm PDT by rbrog77: There wasn't
Settled as 'No' Thu 24th Jul 11:52pm PDT by tisha[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

6 weeks ago
shojun predicted No (H$800 at 98%)
6 weeks ago
turland predicted No (H$700 at 96%)
6 weeks ago
snord predicted No (H$3,900 at 96%)
6 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$1,000 at 95%)
6 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$1,000 at 95%)
more

Comments (5)

@ questmaster.. I don't mean to be morbid, but would it be more precise to have the word "attempt" in your question before the word "against"?
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
I agree - sorry to be morbid, but is it just an assassination attempt, or a successful one? I think it should be attempt
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 snord
An assassination is an assassination. An assassination attempt is an assassination attempt. The question is 'an assassination'.
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 tisha[Admin]
Actually, the question is 'an assassination against', not just 'an assassination'.

I think if it were that clear cut, the question would just have been 'Will anyone assassinate Obama in Berlin'
posted 6 weeks ago
  5 cognos[Power User]
@tisha
apparently, that is what the author intended.
posted 6 weeks ago

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