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Beijing Olympics - Men's 100m Breaststroke - Who will win Gold?

Settled as Kosuke Kitajima (JPN)

 
% chance over time
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Settled

Brendan Hansen (USA)
13%
Kosuke Kitajima (JPN)
15%
Hugues Duboscq (FRA)
4%
Alexander Dale Oen (NOR)
57%
Christopher Cook (GBR)
1%
Brenton Rickard (AUS)
6%
Mark Gangloff (USA)
0%
Christian Sprenger (AUS)
0%
The Field
3%
Activity: H$20,079
Settled as Kosuke Kitajima (JPN) on Mon 11th Aug 2:52am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 10th Aug 5pm PDT

Settlement date: Mon 11th Aug 2:52am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 10th Aug 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Brendan Hansen (USA): 24%, Kosuke Kitajima (JPN): 20%, Hugues Duboscq (FRA): 14%, Alexander Dale Oen (NOR): 12%, Christopher Cook (GBR): 8%, Brenton Rickard (AUS): 7%, Mark Gangloff (USA): 5%, Christian Sprenger (AUS): 5%, The Field: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Jul 11:57pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Sun 10th Aug 5pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 10th Aug 9:34pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]: Kosuke Kitajima (JPN) won

http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWM031100/index.html
Settled as 'Kosuke Kitajima (JPN)' Mon 11th Aug 2:52am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/resultsandschedules/rsc=SWM031100/index.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

1 week ago
bency predicted Alexander Dale Oen (NOR) (H$50 at 57%)
1 week ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Kosuke Kitajima (JPN) (H$50 at 14%)
1 week ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Hugues Duboscq (FRA) (H$50 at 4%)
1 week ago
lvnmom22 predicted Brenton Rickard (AUS) (H$50 at 5%)
1 week ago
lvnmom22 predicted Brendan Hansen (USA) (H$50 at 10%)
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